I expect this to be a higher scoring game, and since Kansas City is a pass-first offense, I think Mahomes can throw 3 passing touchdowns, which gives us excellent value on this play.ĭraftKings Sportsbook is currently giving new customers $200 in bonus bets if they sign up now and bet $5. Those quarterbacks were Jared Goff (#8), who had 215 passing yards and 2 touchdowns against the Eagles, and Dak Prescott (#7), who had 347 yards and 3 touchdown passes against Philadelphia. Interestingly enough, Philadelphia faced only 2 quarterbacks ranked in the top 10 of EPA per dropback. However, Mahomes led the league among quarterbacks in terms of EPA per drop-back. In terms of EPA per drop-back allowed, the Eagles’ pass defense led the NFL. They will force Patrick Mahomes to throw the ball quickly and not let him be able to go through his progressions, and while many quarterbacks crumble under pressure (literally), Mahomes thrives in it. The Eagles have a combined 8 sacks against the Giants and 49ers this postseason, which is no surprise considering they led the league in sacks by a large margin in the regular season. I’ll back the Chiefs through the air rather than the ground out of respect for the Philadelphia defensive line. And in 14 of the 19 games this season, Brown hasn’t had 6 or more receptions, so I’ll back the trend to continue for one more game.Ĭheck out the Pickswise NFL analysts Super Bowl 57 best bets Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing touchdowns (+170) Brown has had fewer than 6 receptions in 4 consecutive games thanks to that performance. While his team was winning by double digits for the entirety of the second half, he was visibly agitated on the sidelines.Īnd when many expected a dominant performance from him in the NFC Championship game, he once again failed to live up to expectations, finishing with only 28 yards on 4 catches.

He has not been the same elite threat that he was in the regular season, as Brown had only 3 receptions on 6 targets for 22 yards in the Divisional Round.

It’s been a different story in the playoffs though. Brown surpassed WR DeVonta Smith and TE Dallas Goedert as Jalen Hurts’ favorite target because of the immediate connection between the two. The first-year Eagle set a career-high or tied career highs with a total of 88 receptions, 1,496 receiving yards, and 11 touchdowns in the regular season. It couldn’t have been a better first year in Philadelphia for AJ Brown.

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